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When does it first snow in Abilene, TX?

At Abilene, the typical date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1 inch or more in a day) is Dec 6. That is the median over the last 30 snow seasons: half of seasons saw it earlier, half later. In about 1 season in 10 it came by Nov 17, and in 1 in 10 not until Feb 12 or later. The earliest was Oct 27 (2020-21) and the latest Feb 24 (2002-03). A first snowfall of at least 1 inch in a single day typically arrives around Dec 29, and 67% of seasons had one. The first freeze of fall (a low of 32°F or colder) typically comes around Nov 12, and the last freeze of spring around Mar 21.

This season so far (2026-27, data through Oct 16, 2026): no measurable snow recorded yet; no 32°F freeze recorded yet at this station. Compare with the typical dates above. This is observed data and can lag by a day or two, and it is not a forecast.

Dec 6Median first measurable snow (0.1"+)

Dec 29Median first 1"+ snowfall

3.7"Average snowfall per season

0%Chance of white Christmas (1"+ on ground Dec 25)

Nov 12Median first fall freeze (≤32°F)

Mar 21Median last spring freeze (≤32°F)

236Median freeze-free days between

First snowfall dates at Abilene

First day with…	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest in 30 seasons	Latest in 30 seasons	Seasons with one
0.1" of snow or more (measurable)	Dec 6	Nov 17 – Feb 12	Oct 27 (2020-21)	Feb 24 (2002-03)	73%
1" of snow or more	Dec 29	Nov 24 – Feb 24	Nov 8 (2000-01)	Feb 26 (2014-15)	67%
3" of snow or more	Dec 24	Nov 22 – Feb 1	Nov 8 (2000-01)	Feb 5 (2019-20)	37%

Based on 30 seasons (July–June, 1995-96 to 2024-25) with at least 85% complete daily snowfall records at the station. Dates are for a single day’s snowfall, so "1 inch" means one calendar day with 1" or more, not total accumulation.

Chance the first snow has already happened by a given date

Snowfall	By Nov 1	By Dec 1	By Jan 1
0.1"+ (measurable)	3%	30%	50%
1"+	0%	17%	37%

In spring, the last measurable snowfall of the season typically falls around Feb 10 (median).

White Christmas odds in Abilene

NOAA defines a white Christmas as at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. Using the last 30 years of daily snow-depth records (1995–2024) at this station, Abilene had that in 0% of years, at least 3 inches in 0%, and at least 6 inches in 0%. The average depth on Dec 25 was 0.0 inches and the deepest was 0 inches. New snow was falling (0.1" or more) on Christmas Day itself in 4% of years. Based on 28 years with a recorded depth on Dec 25.

Chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground, by date

Share of the last 30 years with 1"+ snow depth within 3 days of each date. Snow cover is most likely around Feb 4 (5%). Red line: Dec 25.

First and last freeze dates in Abilene

Threshold	Event	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest / latest	Years with one
32°F or colder (freeze)	First in fall	Nov 12	Oct 30 – Nov 25	Oct 26 (2020) / Dec 8 (1998)	100%
32°F or colder (freeze)	Last in spring	Mar 21	Feb 28 – Apr 14	–	100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	First in fall	Nov 24	Nov 13 – Dec 7	Oct 27 (1997) / Dec 21 (1998)	97%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	Last in spring	Mar 5	Feb 12 – Apr 7	–	100%

Based on the station’s daily minimum temperature, 1995–2024. “Freeze” here means a daily low at or below the threshold, which is not the same as visible frost. Your yard can differ by several degrees and days from an airport weather station, so use these as planning odds, not guarantees.

The median stretch between the last spring freeze and the first fall freeze (the freeze-free season) was about 236 days.

Nearby weather stations

Source station: Abilene Rgnl Ap (USW00013962), elevation 1,787 ft. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Computed by First Snow Dates; how we calculate this. Historical averages only; for a forecast see weather.gov.

Planning for winter? Heat pump vs gas furnace, propane and oil: heating cost in Texas (on our sister site PlugVsPump, from EIA prices).