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When does it first snow in Waco, TX?

At Waco, the typical date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1 inch or more in a day) is Feb 7. That is the median over the last 30 snow seasons: half of seasons saw it earlier, half later. In about 1 season in 10 it came by Dec 29, and in 1 in 10 not until Mar 6 or later. The earliest was Dec 13 (2000-01) and the latest Apr 7 (2006-07). A first snowfall of at least 1 inch in a single day typically arrives around Feb 18, and 20% of seasons had one. The first freeze of fall (a low of 32°F or colder) typically comes around Nov 16, and the last freeze of spring around Mar 14.

This season so far (2026-27, data through Oct 16, 2026): no measurable snow recorded yet; no 32°F freeze recorded yet at this station. Compare with the typical dates above. This is observed data and can lag by a day or two, and it is not a forecast.

Feb 7Median first measurable snow (0.1"+)

Feb 18Median first 1"+ snowfall

0.8"Average snowfall per season

Nov 16Median first fall freeze (≤32°F)

Mar 14Median last spring freeze (≤32°F)

244Median freeze-free days between

First snowfall dates at Waco

First day with…	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest in 30 seasons	Latest in 30 seasons	Seasons with one
0.1" of snow or more (measurable)	Feb 7	Dec 29 – Mar 6	Dec 13 (2000-01)	Apr 7 (2006-07)	47%
1" of snow or more	Feb 18	Jan 23 – Mar 22	Jan 10 (2020-21)	Apr 7 (2006-07)	20%
3" of snow or more	Feb 23	Jan 19 – Mar 29	Jan 10 (2020-21)	Apr 7 (2006-07)	10%

Based on 30 seasons (July–June, 1995-96 to 2024-25) with at least 85% complete daily snowfall records at the station. Dates are for a single day’s snowfall, so "1 inch" means one calendar day with 1" or more, not total accumulation.

Chance the first snow has already happened by a given date

Snowfall	By Nov 1	By Dec 1	By Jan 1
0.1"+ (measurable)	0%	0%	7%
1"+	0%	0%	0%

In spring, the last measurable snowfall of the season typically falls around Feb 16 (median).

First and last freeze dates in Waco

Threshold	Event	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest / latest	Years with one
32°F or colder (freeze)	First in fall	Nov 16	Nov 2 – Nov 28	Oct 28 (2012) / Dec 21 (1998)	100%
32°F or colder (freeze)	Last in spring	Mar 14	Feb 26 – Apr 7	–	100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	First in fall	Nov 28	Nov 13 – Dec 19	Nov 1 (2019) / Dec 24 (2001)	97%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	Last in spring	Feb 26	Jan 29 – Mar 19	–	100%

Based on the station’s daily minimum temperature, 1995–2024. “Freeze” here means a daily low at or below the threshold, which is not the same as visible frost. Your yard can differ by several degrees and days from an airport weather station, so use these as planning odds, not guarantees.

The median stretch between the last spring freeze and the first fall freeze (the freeze-free season) was about 244 days.

Nearby weather stations

Source station: Waco Rgnl Ap (USW00013959), elevation 498 ft. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Computed by First Snow Dates; how we calculate this. Historical averages only; for a forecast see weather.gov.

Planning for winter? Heat pump vs gas furnace, propane and oil: heating cost in Texas (on our sister site PlugVsPump, from EIA prices).