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When does it first snow in Lubbock, TX?

At Lubbock, the typical date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1 inch or more in a day) is Dec 14. That is the median over the last 30 snow seasons: half of seasons saw it earlier, half later. In about 1 season in 10 it came by Nov 1, and in 1 in 10 not until Jan 30 or later. The earliest was Oct 17 (1999-00) and the latest Mar 27 (2002-03). A first snowfall of at least 1 inch in a single day typically arrives around Dec 27, and 77% of seasons had one. The first freeze of fall (a low of 32°F or colder) typically comes around Oct 30, and the last freeze of spring around Apr 7.

This season so far (2026-27, data through Oct 16, 2026): no measurable snow recorded yet; no 32°F freeze recorded yet at this station. Compare with the typical dates above. This is observed data and can lag by a day or two, and it is not a forecast.

Dec 14Median first measurable snow (0.1"+)

Dec 27Median first 1"+ snowfall

6.8"Average snowfall per season

10%Chance of white Christmas (1"+ on ground Dec 25)

Oct 30Median first fall freeze (≤32°F)

Apr 7Median last spring freeze (≤32°F)

210Median freeze-free days between

First snowfall dates at Lubbock

First day with…	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest in 30 seasons	Latest in 30 seasons	Seasons with one
0.1" of snow or more (measurable)	Dec 14	Nov 1 – Jan 30	Oct 17 (1999-00)	Mar 27 (2002-03)	100%
1" of snow or more	Dec 27	Nov 25 – Feb 9	Nov 2 (2004-05)	Apr 5 (2024-25)	77%
3" of snow or more	Dec 27	Nov 15 – Feb 19	Nov 2 (2004-05)	Feb 27 (2014-15)	50%

Based on 30 seasons (July–June, 1995-96 to 2024-25) with at least 85% complete daily snowfall records at the station. Dates are for a single day’s snowfall, so "1 inch" means one calendar day with 1" or more, not total accumulation.

Chance the first snow has already happened by a given date

Snowfall	By Nov 1	By Dec 1	By Jan 1
0.1"+ (measurable)	10%	37%	60%
1"+	0%	17%	40%

In spring, the last measurable snowfall of the season typically falls around Feb 26 (median).

White Christmas odds in Lubbock

NOAA defines a white Christmas as at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. Using the last 30 years of daily snow-depth records (1995–2024) at this station, Lubbock had that in 10% of years, at least 3 inches in 0%, and at least 6 inches in 0%. The average depth on Dec 25 was 0.2 inches and the deepest was 2 inches. New snow was falling (0.1" or more) on Christmas Day itself in 10% of years. Based on 30 years with a recorded depth on Dec 25.

Chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground, by date

Share of the last 30 years with 1"+ snow depth within 3 days of each date. Snow cover is most likely around Dec 28 (11%). Red line: Dec 25.

First and last freeze dates in Lubbock

Threshold	Event	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest / latest	Years with one
32°F or colder (freeze)	First in fall	Oct 30	Oct 16 – Nov 18	Oct 8 (2012) / Nov 23 (2003)	100%
32°F or colder (freeze)	Last in spring	Apr 7	Mar 20 – Apr 19	–	100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	First in fall	Nov 14	Oct 27 – Nov 30	Oct 26 (2019) / Dec 18 (2021)	100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	Last in spring	Mar 24	Mar 2 – Apr 11	–	100%

Based on the station’s daily minimum temperature, 1995–2024. “Freeze” here means a daily low at or below the threshold, which is not the same as visible frost. Your yard can differ by several degrees and days from an airport weather station, so use these as planning odds, not guarantees.

The median stretch between the last spring freeze and the first fall freeze (the freeze-free season) was about 210 days.

Nearby weather stations

Source station: Lubbock (USW00023042), elevation 3,378 ft. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Computed by First Snow Dates; how we calculate this. Historical averages only; for a forecast see weather.gov.

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