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When does it first snow in Austin (Camp Mabry), TX?

At Austin (Camp Mabry), the typical date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1 inch or more in a day) is Jan 29. That is the median over the last 30 snow seasons: half of seasons saw it earlier, half later. In about 1 season in 10 it came by Dec 12, and in 1 in 10 not until Feb 22 or later. The earliest was Dec 7 (2017-18) and the latest Feb 24 (2002-03). A first snowfall of at least 1 inch in a single day typically arrives around Jan 27, and 7% of seasons had one. The first freeze of fall (a low of 32°F or colder) typically comes around Dec 6, and the last freeze of spring around Feb 18.

This season so far (2026-27, data through Oct 16, 2026): no measurable snow recorded yet; no 32°F freeze recorded yet at this station. Compare with the typical dates above. This is observed data and can lag by a day or two, and it is not a forecast.

Jan 29Median first measurable snow (0.1"+)

Jan 27Median first 1"+ snowfall

0.4"Average snowfall per season

0%Chance of white Christmas (1"+ on ground Dec 25)

Dec 6Median first fall freeze (≤32°F)

Feb 18Median last spring freeze (≤32°F)

290Median freeze-free days between

First snowfall dates at Austin (Camp Mabry)

First day with…	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest in 30 seasons	Latest in 30 seasons	Seasons with one
0.1" of snow or more (measurable)	Jan 29	Dec 12 – Feb 22	Dec 7 (2017-18)	Feb 24 (2002-03)	40%
1" of snow or more	Jan 27	Jan 13 – Feb 10	Jan 10 (2020-21)	Feb 14 (2003-04)	7%
3" of snow or more	Feb 15	Feb 15 – Feb 15	Feb 15 (2020-21)	Feb 15 (2020-21)	3%

Based on 30 seasons (July–June, 1995-96 to 2024-25) with at least 85% complete daily snowfall records at the station. Dates are for a single day’s snowfall, so "1 inch" means one calendar day with 1" or more, not total accumulation.

Chance the first snow has already happened by a given date

Snowfall	By Nov 1	By Dec 1	By Jan 1
0.1"+ (measurable)	0%	0%	7%
1"+	0%	0%	0%

In spring, the last measurable snowfall of the season typically falls around Feb 3 (median).

White Christmas odds in Austin (Camp Mabry)

NOAA defines a white Christmas as at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. Using the last 30 years of daily snow-depth records (1995–2024) at this station, Austin (Camp Mabry) had that in 0% of years, at least 3 inches in 0%, and at least 6 inches in 0%. The average depth on Dec 25 was 0.0 inches and the deepest was 0 inches. New snow was falling (0.1" or more) on Christmas Day itself in 0% of years. Based on 30 years with a recorded depth on Dec 25.

Chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground, by date

Share of the last 30 years with 1"+ snow depth within 3 days of each date. Snow cover is most likely around Feb 16 (3%). Red line: Dec 25.

First and last freeze dates in Austin (Camp Mabry)

Threshold	Event	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest / latest	Years with one
32°F or colder (freeze)	First in fall	Dec 6	Nov 16 – Dec 18	Nov 1 (2019) / Dec 25 (2002)	93%
32°F or colder (freeze)	Last in spring	Feb 18	Jan 24 – Mar 8	–	100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	First in fall	Dec 18	Dec 7 – Dec 26	Dec 5 (2009) / Dec 31 (2017)	53%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	Last in spring	Feb 5	Jan 11 – Mar 5	–	70%

Based on the station’s daily minimum temperature, 1995–2024. “Freeze” here means a daily low at or below the threshold, which is not the same as visible frost. Your yard can differ by several degrees and days from an airport weather station, so use these as planning odds, not guarantees.

The median stretch between the last spring freeze and the first fall freeze (the freeze-free season) was about 290 days.

Nearby weather stations

Source station: Austin-Camp Mabry (USW00013958), elevation 670 ft. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Computed by First Snow Dates; how we calculate this. Historical averages only; for a forecast see weather.gov.

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