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When does it first snow in Toledo, OH?

At Toledo, the typical date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1 inch or more in a day) is Nov 22. That is the median over the last 30 snow seasons: half of seasons saw it earlier, half later. In about 1 season in 10 it came by Nov 11, and in 1 in 10 not until Dec 10 or later. The earliest was Oct 31 (2023-24) and the latest Dec 25 (2001-02). A first snowfall of at least 1 inch in a single day typically arrives around Dec 6, and 100% of seasons had one. The first freeze of fall (a low of 32°F or colder) typically comes around Oct 19, and the last freeze of spring around Apr 27.

This season so far (2026-27, data through Oct 16, 2026): no measurable snow recorded yet; no 32°F freeze recorded yet at this station. Compare with the typical dates above. This is observed data and can lag by a day or two, and it is not a forecast.

Nov 22Median first measurable snow (0.1"+)

Dec 6Median first 1"+ snowfall

33.9"Average snowfall per season

43%Chance of white Christmas (1"+ on ground Dec 25)

Oct 19Median first fall freeze (≤32°F)

Apr 27Median last spring freeze (≤32°F)

177Median freeze-free days between

First snowfall dates at Toledo

First day with…	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest in 30 seasons	Latest in 30 seasons	Seasons with one
0.1" of snow or more (measurable)	Nov 22	Nov 11 – Dec 10	Oct 31 (2023-24)	Dec 25 (2001-02)	100%
1" of snow or more	Dec 6	Nov 14 – Jan 6	Nov 9 (1996-97)	Jan 21 (2006-07)	100%
3" of snow or more	Dec 24	Nov 28 – Feb 5	Nov 11 (2019-20)	Mar 25 (2001-02)	90%

Based on 30 seasons (July–June, 1995-96 to 2024-25) with at least 85% complete daily snowfall records at the station. Dates are for a single day’s snowfall, so "1 inch" means one calendar day with 1" or more, not total accumulation.

Chance the first snow has already happened by a given date

Snowfall	By Nov 1	By Dec 1	By Jan 1
0.1"+ (measurable)	3%	67%	100%
1"+	0%	43%	83%

In spring, the last measurable snowfall of the season typically falls around Mar 27 (median).

White Christmas odds in Toledo

NOAA defines a white Christmas as at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. Using the last 30 years of daily snow-depth records (1995–2024) at this station, Toledo had that in 43% of years, at least 3 inches in 14%, and at least 6 inches in 4%. The average depth on Dec 25 was 1.1 inches and the deepest was 8 inches. New snow was falling (0.1" or more) on Christmas Day itself in 23% of years. Based on 28 years with a recorded depth on Dec 25.

Chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground, by date

Share of the last 30 years with 1"+ snow depth within 3 days of each date. Snow cover is most likely around Jan 29 (52%). Red line: Dec 25.

First and last freeze dates in Toledo

Threshold	Event	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest / latest	Years with one
32°F or colder (freeze)	First in fall	Oct 19	Oct 7 – Nov 3	Oct 1 (2009) / Nov 13 (2022)	100%
32°F or colder (freeze)	Last in spring	Apr 27	Apr 12 – May 10	–	100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	First in fall	Nov 1	Oct 22 – Nov 10	Oct 18 (2009) / Nov 18 (2022)	100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	Last in spring	Apr 11	Mar 30 – Apr 26	–	100%

Based on the station’s daily minimum temperature, 1995–2024. “Freeze” here means a daily low at or below the threshold, which is not the same as visible frost. Your yard can differ by several degrees and days from an airport weather station, so use these as planning odds, not guarantees.

The median stretch between the last spring freeze and the first fall freeze (the freeze-free season) was about 177 days.

Nearby weather stations

Source station: Toledo Express Ap (USW00094830), elevation 674 ft. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Computed by First Snow Dates; how we calculate this. Historical averages only; for a forecast see weather.gov.

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