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When does it first snow in Flint, MI?

At Flint, the typical date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1 inch or more in a day) is Nov 14. That is the median over the last 30 snow seasons: half of seasons saw it earlier, half later. In about 1 season in 10 it came by Oct 31, and in 1 in 10 not until Dec 3 or later. The earliest was Oct 12 (2006-07) and the latest Dec 8 (2001-02). A first snowfall of at least 1 inch in a single day typically arrives around Nov 26, and 100% of seasons had one. The first freeze of fall (a low of 32°F or colder) typically comes around Oct 10, and the last freeze of spring around May 5.
This season so far (2026-27, data through Oct 16, 2026): no measurable snow recorded yet; no 32°F freeze recorded yet at this station. Compare with the typical dates above. This is observed data and can lag by a day or two, and it is not a forecast.
Nov 14Median first measurable snow (0.1"+)
Nov 26Median first 1"+ snowfall
52.1"Average snowfall per season
63%Chance of white Christmas (1"+ on ground Dec 25)
Oct 10Median first fall freeze (≤32°F)
May 5Median last spring freeze (≤32°F)
159Median freeze-free days between

First snowfall dates at Flint

First day with…Median dateTypical range (10th–90th pct)Earliest in 30 seasonsLatest in 30 seasonsSeasons with one
0.1" of snow or more (measurable)Nov 14Oct 31 – Dec 3Oct 12 (2006-07)Dec 8 (2001-02)100%
1" of snow or moreNov 26Nov 8 – Dec 15Oct 12 (2006-07)Dec 25 (2020-21)100%
3" of snow or moreDec 17Nov 22 – Jan 30Nov 11 (2019-20)Mar 2 (1995-96)97%

Based on 30 seasons (July–June, 1995-96 to 2024-25) with at least 85% complete daily snowfall records at the station. Dates are for a single day’s snowfall, so "1 inch" means one calendar day with 1" or more, not total accumulation.

Chance the first snow has already happened by a given date

SnowfallBy Nov 1By Dec 1By Jan 1
0.1"+ (measurable)23%87%100%
1"+10%63%100%

In spring, the last measurable snowfall of the season typically falls around Apr 11 (median).

White Christmas odds in Flint

NOAA defines a white Christmas as at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. Using the last 30 years of daily snow-depth records (1995–2024) at this station, Flint had that in 63% of years, at least 3 inches in 27%, and at least 6 inches in 7%. The average depth on Dec 25 was 2.1 inches and the deepest was 18 inches. New snow was falling (0.1" or more) on Christmas Day itself in 53% of years. Based on 30 years with a recorded depth on Dec 25.

Chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground, by dateNov 1Dec 1Dec 25Jan 15Feb 15Mar 15Apr 100%25%50%75%100%

Share of the last 30 years with 1"+ snow depth within 3 days of each date. Snow cover is most likely around Jan 29 (83%). Red line: Dec 25.

First and last freeze dates in Flint

ThresholdEventMedian dateTypical range (10th–90th pct)Earliest / latestYears with one
32°F or colder (freeze)First in fallOct 10Sep 23 – Oct 23Sep 17 (2013) / Nov 2 (2021)100%
32°F or colder (freeze)Last in springMay 5Apr 27 – May 20–100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)First in fallOct 24Oct 6 – Nov 6Sep 23 (1995) / Nov 12 (2020)100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)Last in springApr 25Apr 7 – May 4–100%

Based on the station’s daily minimum temperature, 1995–2024. “Freeze” here means a daily low at or below the threshold, which is not the same as visible frost. Your yard can differ by several degrees and days from an airport weather station, so use these as planning odds, not guarantees.

The median stretch between the last spring freeze and the first fall freeze (the freeze-free season) was about 159 days.

Nearby weather stations

Source station: Flint Fcwos (USW00014826), elevation 770 ft. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Computed by First Snow Dates; how we calculate this. Historical averages only; for a forecast see weather.gov.

Planning for winter? Heat pump vs gas furnace, propane and oil: heating cost in Michigan (on our sister site PlugVsPump, from EIA prices).