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When does it first snow in Mansfield, OH?

At Mansfield, the typical date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1 inch or more in a day) is Nov 14. That is the median over the last 30 snow seasons: half of seasons saw it earlier, half later. In about 1 season in 10 it came by Nov 1, and in 1 in 10 not until Dec 11 or later. The earliest was Oct 29 (2002-03) and the latest Dec 31 (2015-16). A first snowfall of at least 1 inch in a single day typically arrives around Dec 5, and 100% of seasons had one. The first freeze of fall (a low of 32°F or colder) typically comes around Oct 20, and the last freeze of spring around Apr 28.
This season so far (2026-27, data through Oct 16, 2026): no measurable snow recorded yet; no 32°F freeze recorded yet at this station. Compare with the typical dates above. This is observed data and can lag by a day or two, and it is not a forecast.
Nov 14Median first measurable snow (0.1"+)
Dec 5Median first 1"+ snowfall
45.1"Average snowfall per season
41%Chance of white Christmas (1"+ on ground Dec 25)
Oct 20Median first fall freeze (≤32°F)
Apr 28Median last spring freeze (≤32°F)
175Median freeze-free days between

First snowfall dates at Mansfield

First day with…Median dateTypical range (10th–90th pct)Earliest in 30 seasonsLatest in 30 seasonsSeasons with one
0.1" of snow or more (measurable)Nov 14Nov 1 – Dec 11Oct 29 (2002-03)Dec 31 (2015-16)100%
1" of snow or moreDec 5Nov 9 – Jan 4Oct 30 (2012-13)Jan 28 (2006-07)100%
3" of snow or moreDec 20Nov 26 – Feb 8Nov 17 (2014-15)Feb 27 (2001-02)87%

Based on 30 seasons (July–June, 1995-96 to 2024-25) with at least 85% complete daily snowfall records at the station. Dates are for a single day’s snowfall, so "1 inch" means one calendar day with 1" or more, not total accumulation.

Chance the first snow has already happened by a given date

SnowfallBy Nov 1By Dec 1By Jan 1
0.1"+ (measurable)10%80%100%
1"+3%43%87%

In spring, the last measurable snowfall of the season typically falls around Apr 8 (median).

White Christmas odds in Mansfield

NOAA defines a white Christmas as at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. Using the last 30 years of daily snow-depth records (1995–2024) at this station, Mansfield had that in 41% of years, at least 3 inches in 17%, and at least 6 inches in 7%. The average depth on Dec 25 was 1.6 inches and the deepest was 15 inches. New snow was falling (0.1" or more) on Christmas Day itself in 27% of years. Based on 29 years with a recorded depth on Dec 25.

Chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground, by dateNov 1Dec 1Dec 25Jan 15Feb 15Mar 15Apr 100%25%50%75%100%

Share of the last 30 years with 1"+ snow depth within 3 days of each date. Snow cover is most likely around Jan 28 (61%). Red line: Dec 25.

First and last freeze dates in Mansfield

ThresholdEventMedian dateTypical range (10th–90th pct)Earliest / latestYears with one
32°F or colder (freeze)First in fallOct 20Oct 7 – Nov 1Oct 2 (2003) / Nov 10 (2016)100%
32°F or colder (freeze)Last in springApr 28Apr 15 – May 13–100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)First in fallNov 3Oct 20 – Nov 18Oct 8 (2001) / Nov 29 (2024)100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)Last in springApr 13Apr 3 – Apr 28–100%

Based on the station’s daily minimum temperature, 1995–2024. “Freeze” here means a daily low at or below the threshold, which is not the same as visible frost. Your yard can differ by several degrees and days from an airport weather station, so use these as planning odds, not guarantees.

The median stretch between the last spring freeze and the first fall freeze (the freeze-free season) was about 175 days.

Nearby weather stations

Source station: Mansfield Lahm Rgnl Ap (USW00014891), elevation 1,289 ft. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Computed by First Snow Dates; how we calculate this. Historical averages only; for a forecast see weather.gov.

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