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When does it first snow in Youngstown-Warren, OH?

At Youngstown-Warren, the typical date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1 inch or more in a day) is Nov 6. That is the median over the last 30 snow seasons: half of seasons saw it earlier, half later. In about 1 season in 10 it came by Oct 17, and in 1 in 10 not until Nov 24 or later. The earliest was Oct 2 (2003-04) and the latest Dec 11 (1995-96). A first snowfall of at least 1 inch in a single day typically arrives around Nov 19, and 100% of seasons had one. The first freeze of fall (a low of 32°F or colder) typically comes around Oct 18, and the last freeze of spring around May 3.

This season so far (2026-27, data through Oct 16, 2026): no measurable snow recorded yet; no 32°F freeze recorded yet at this station. Compare with the typical dates above. This is observed data and can lag by a day or two, and it is not a forecast.

Nov 6Median first measurable snow (0.1"+)

Nov 19Median first 1"+ snowfall

64.7"Average snowfall per season

45%Chance of white Christmas (1"+ on ground Dec 25)

Oct 18Median first fall freeze (≤32°F)

May 3Median last spring freeze (≤32°F)

163Median freeze-free days between

First snowfall dates at Youngstown-Warren

First day with…	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest in 30 seasons	Latest in 30 seasons	Seasons with one
0.1" of snow or more (measurable)	Nov 6	Oct 17 – Nov 24	Oct 2 (2003-04)	Dec 11 (1995-96)	100%
1" of snow or more	Nov 19	Oct 31 – Dec 17	Oct 19 (2022-23)	Jan 4 (2015-16)	100%
3" of snow or more	Dec 14	Nov 17 – Jan 11	Nov 12 (2019-20)	Feb 10 (2015-16)	97%

Based on 29 seasons (July–June, 1995-96 to 2024-25) with at least 85% complete daily snowfall records at the station. Dates are for a single day’s snowfall, so "1 inch" means one calendar day with 1" or more, not total accumulation.

Chance the first snow has already happened by a given date

Snowfall	By Nov 1	By Dec 1	By Jan 1
0.1"+ (measurable)	41%	93%	100%
1"+	10%	69%	97%

In spring, the last measurable snowfall of the season typically falls around Apr 7 (median).

White Christmas odds in Youngstown-Warren

NOAA defines a white Christmas as at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. Using the last 30 years of daily snow-depth records (1995–2024) at this station, Youngstown-Warren had that in 45% of years, at least 3 inches in 17%, and at least 6 inches in 10%. The average depth on Dec 25 was 1.5 inches and the deepest was 10 inches. New snow was falling (0.1" or more) on Christmas Day itself in 28% of years. Based on 29 years with a recorded depth on Dec 25.

Chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground, by date

Share of the last 30 years with 1"+ snow depth within 3 days of each date. Snow cover is most likely around Jan 20 (72%). Red line: Dec 25.

First and last freeze dates in Youngstown-Warren

Threshold	Event	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest / latest	Years with one
32°F or colder (freeze)	First in fall	Oct 18	Oct 4 – Oct 30	Sep 22 (1999) / Nov 3 (2021)	100%
32°F or colder (freeze)	Last in spring	May 3	Apr 26 – May 22	–	100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	First in fall	Nov 3	Oct 19 – Nov 13	Oct 7 (1999) / Nov 18 (2022)	100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	Last in spring	Apr 17	Apr 2 – Apr 30	–	100%

Based on the station’s daily minimum temperature, 1995–2024. “Freeze” here means a daily low at or below the threshold, which is not the same as visible frost. Your yard can differ by several degrees and days from an airport weather station, so use these as planning odds, not guarantees.

The median stretch between the last spring freeze and the first fall freeze (the freeze-free season) was about 163 days.

Nearby weather stations

Source station: Youngstown-Warren Rgnl Ap (USW00014852), elevation 1,167 ft. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Computed by First Snow Dates; how we calculate this. Historical averages only; for a forecast see weather.gov.

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