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North Dakota: first snow, freeze dates and white Christmas odds

Snow and freeze history for 7 NOAA weather stations in North Dakota, computed from 1995–2024 daily records. The earliest typical first snow among them is Grand Forks (median Oct 27). The best white Christmas odds are at Grand Forks (86%).

CityFirst measurable snow (median)First 1"+ snow (median)White Christmas chanceAvg snowfall / seasonFirst fall freeze (median)Last spring freeze (median)
BismarckOct 31Nov 1073%47.9"Sep 28May 15
Dickinson––––Sep 25May 19
FargoNov 2Nov 1281%48.8"Oct 6May 11
Grand ForksOct 27Nov 1086%47.2"Sep 29May 16
Jamestown––––Sep 29May 11
Minot––––Sep 29May 13
PembinaNov 2Nov 2–39.7"Sep 30May 19

Planning for winter? Heat pump vs gas furnace, propane and oil: heating cost in North Dakota (on our sister site PlugVsPump, from EIA prices).