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When does it first snow in New York (JFK Airport), NY?

At New York (JFK Airport), the typical date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1 inch or more in a day) is Dec 12. That is the median over the last 30 snow seasons: half of seasons saw it earlier, half later. In about 1 season in 10 it came by Nov 15, and in 1 in 10 not until Jan 6 or later. The earliest was Oct 29 (2011-12) and the latest Feb 1 (2022-23). A first snowfall of at least 1 inch in a single day typically arrives around Dec 24, and 100% of seasons had one. The first freeze of fall (a low of 32°F or colder) typically comes around Nov 15, and the last freeze of spring around Apr 1.

This season so far (2026-27, data through Oct 16, 2026): no measurable snow recorded yet; no 32°F freeze recorded yet at this station. Compare with the typical dates above. This is observed data and can lag by a day or two, and it is not a forecast.

Dec 12Median first measurable snow (0.1"+)

Dec 24Median first 1"+ snowfall

25.2"Average snowfall per season

10%Chance of white Christmas (1"+ on ground Dec 25)

Nov 15Median first fall freeze (≤32°F)

Apr 1Median last spring freeze (≤32°F)

229Median freeze-free days between

First snowfall dates at New York (JFK Airport)

First day with…	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest in 30 seasons	Latest in 30 seasons	Seasons with one
0.1" of snow or more (measurable)	Dec 12	Nov 15 – Jan 6	Oct 29 (2011-12)	Feb 1 (2022-23)	100%
1" of snow or more	Dec 24	Nov 28 – Feb 12	Oct 29 (2011-12)	Mar 22 (1997-98)	100%
3" of snow or more	Dec 28	Dec 4 – Feb 6	Nov 7 (2012-13)	Feb 22 (2007-08)	80%

Based on 30 seasons (July–June, 1995-96 to 2024-25) with at least 85% complete daily snowfall records at the station. Dates are for a single day’s snowfall, so "1 inch" means one calendar day with 1" or more, not total accumulation.

Chance the first snow has already happened by a given date

Snowfall	By Nov 1	By Dec 1	By Jan 1
0.1"+ (measurable)	3%	23%	83%
1"+	3%	13%	57%

In spring, the last measurable snowfall of the season typically falls around Mar 18 (median).

White Christmas odds in New York (JFK Airport)

NOAA defines a white Christmas as at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. Using the last 30 years of daily snow-depth records (1995–2024) at this station, New York (JFK Airport) had that in 10% of years, at least 3 inches in 7%, and at least 6 inches in 3%. The average depth on Dec 25 was 0.4 inches and the deepest was 9 inches. New snow was falling (0.1" or more) on Christmas Day itself in 3% of years. Based on 30 years with a recorded depth on Dec 25.

Chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground, by date

Share of the last 30 years with 1"+ snow depth within 3 days of each date. Snow cover is most likely around Feb 12 (34%). Red line: Dec 25.

First and last freeze dates in New York (JFK Airport)

Threshold	Event	Median date	Typical range (10th–90th pct)	Earliest / latest	Years with one
32°F or colder (freeze)	First in fall	Nov 15	Nov 8 – Dec 4	Oct 31 (2011) / Dec 14 (1998)	100%
32°F or colder (freeze)	Last in spring	Apr 1	Mar 25 – Apr 11	–	100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	First in fall	Nov 27	Nov 14 – Dec 20	Nov 9 (2019) / Dec 26 (2012)	97%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)	Last in spring	Mar 20	Mar 2 – Apr 5	–	100%

Based on the station’s daily minimum temperature, 1995–2024. “Freeze” here means a daily low at or below the threshold, which is not the same as visible frost. Your yard can differ by several degrees and days from an airport weather station, so use these as planning odds, not guarantees.

The median stretch between the last spring freeze and the first fall freeze (the freeze-free season) was about 229 days.

Nearby weather stations

Source station: Jfk Intl Ap (USW00094789), elevation 9 ft. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Computed by First Snow Dates; how we calculate this. Historical averages only; for a forecast see weather.gov.

Planning for winter? Heat pump vs gas furnace, propane and oil: heating cost in New York (on our sister site PlugVsPump, from EIA prices).