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When does it first snow in New York (Central Park), NY?

At New York (Central Park), the typical date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1 inch or more in a day) is Dec 12. That is the median over the last 30 snow seasons: half of seasons saw it earlier, half later. In about 1 season in 10 it came by Nov 25, and in 1 in 10 not until Jan 18 or later. The earliest was Oct 29 (2011-12) and the latest Feb 1 (2022-23). A first snowfall of at least 1 inch in a single day typically arrives around Dec 17, and 97% of seasons had one. The first freeze of fall (a low of 32°F or colder) typically comes around Nov 19, and the last freeze of spring around Mar 30.
This season so far (2026-27, data through Oct 16, 2026): no measurable snow recorded yet; no 32°F freeze recorded yet at this station. Compare with the typical dates above. This is observed data and can lag by a day or two, and it is not a forecast.
Dec 12Median first measurable snow (0.1"+)
Dec 17Median first 1"+ snowfall
28.2"Average snowfall per season
8%Chance of white Christmas (1"+ on ground Dec 25)
Nov 19Median first fall freeze (≤32°F)
Mar 30Median last spring freeze (≤32°F)
234Median freeze-free days between

First snowfall dates at New York (Central Park)

First day with…Median dateTypical range (10th–90th pct)Earliest in 30 seasonsLatest in 30 seasonsSeasons with one
0.1" of snow or more (measurable)Dec 12Nov 25 – Jan 18Oct 29 (2011-12)Feb 1 (2022-23)100%
1" of snow or moreDec 17Nov 26 – Jan 21Oct 29 (2011-12)Mar 22 (1997-98)97%
3" of snow or moreJan 7Dec 5 – Feb 28Nov 7 (2012-13)Mar 22 (1997-98)93%

Based on 30 seasons (July–June, 1995-96 to 2024-25) with at least 85% complete daily snowfall records at the station. Dates are for a single day’s snowfall, so "1 inch" means one calendar day with 1" or more, not total accumulation.

Chance the first snow has already happened by a given date

SnowfallBy Nov 1By Dec 1By Jan 1
0.1"+ (measurable)3%20%77%
1"+3%13%70%

In spring, the last measurable snowfall of the season typically falls around Mar 14 (median).

White Christmas odds in New York (Central Park)

NOAA defines a white Christmas as at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. Using the last 30 years of daily snow-depth records (1995–2024) at this station, New York (Central Park) had that in 8% of years, at least 3 inches in 0%, and at least 6 inches in 0%. The average depth on Dec 25 was 0.1 inches and the deepest was 2 inches. New snow was falling (0.1" or more) on Christmas Day itself in 3% of years. Based on 24 years with a recorded depth on Dec 25.

Chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground, by dateNov 1Dec 1Dec 25Jan 15Feb 15Mar 15Apr 100%25%50%75%100%

Share of the last 30 years with 1"+ snow depth within 3 days of each date. Snow cover is most likely around Feb 12 (37%). Red line: Dec 25.

First and last freeze dates in New York (Central Park)

ThresholdEventMedian dateTypical range (10th–90th pct)Earliest / latestYears with one
32°F or colder (freeze)First in fallNov 19Nov 9 – Dec 9Oct 31 (2020) / Dec 22 (1998)100%
32°F or colder (freeze)Last in springMar 30Mar 18 – Apr 10–100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)First in fallNov 30Nov 17 – Dec 20Nov 9 (2019) / Dec 27 (2001)97%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)Last in springMar 22Mar 2 – Apr 1–100%

Based on the station’s daily minimum temperature, 1995–2024. “Freeze” here means a daily low at or below the threshold, which is not the same as visible frost. Your yard can differ by several degrees and days from an airport weather station, so use these as planning odds, not guarantees.

The median stretch between the last spring freeze and the first fall freeze (the freeze-free season) was about 234 days.

Nearby weather stations

Source station: Ny City Cntrl Park (USW00094728), elevation 140 ft. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Computed by First Snow Dates; how we calculate this. Historical averages only; for a forecast see weather.gov.

Planning for winter? Heat pump vs gas furnace, propane and oil: heating cost in New York (on our sister site PlugVsPump, from EIA prices).