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When does it first snow in Memphis, TN?

At Memphis, the typical date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1 inch or more in a day) is Jan 8. That is the median over the last 30 snow seasons: half of seasons saw it earlier, half later. In about 1 season in 10 it came by Nov 30, and in 1 in 10 not until Feb 5 or later. The earliest was Nov 13 (2014-15) and the latest Mar 7 (2007-08). A first snowfall of at least 1 inch in a single day typically arrives around Jan 15, and 64% of seasons had one. The first freeze of fall (a low of 32°F or colder) typically comes around Nov 16, and the last freeze of spring around Mar 13.
This season so far (2026-27, data through Oct 16, 2026): no measurable snow recorded yet; no 32°F freeze recorded yet at this station. Compare with the typical dates above. This is observed data and can lag by a day or two, and it is not a forecast.
Jan 8Median first measurable snow (0.1"+)
Jan 15Median first 1"+ snowfall
3.5"Average snowfall per season
Nov 16Median first fall freeze (≤32°F)
Mar 13Median last spring freeze (≤32°F)
244Median freeze-free days between

First snowfall dates at Memphis

First day with…Median dateTypical range (10th–90th pct)Earliest in 30 seasonsLatest in 30 seasonsSeasons with one
0.1" of snow or more (measurable)Jan 8Nov 30 – Feb 5Nov 13 (2014-15)Mar 7 (2007-08)100%
1" of snow or moreJan 15Jan 7 – Feb 24Dec 7 (2011-12)Mar 7 (2007-08)64%
3" of snow or moreFeb 12Jan 10 – Mar 6Jan 9 (2010-11)Mar 7 (2007-08)36%

Based on 22 seasons (July–June, 1995-96 to 2024-25) with at least 85% complete daily snowfall records at the station. Dates are for a single day’s snowfall, so "1 inch" means one calendar day with 1" or more, not total accumulation.

Chance the first snow has already happened by a given date

SnowfallBy Nov 1By Dec 1By Jan 1
0.1"+ (measurable)0%14%32%
1"+0%0%5%

In spring, the last measurable snowfall of the season typically falls around Feb 4 (median).

First and last freeze dates in Memphis

ThresholdEventMedian dateTypical range (10th–90th pct)Earliest / latestYears with one
32°F or colder (freeze)First in fallNov 16Nov 2 – Nov 29Oct 29 (2017) / Dec 8 (2016)100%
32°F or colder (freeze)Last in springMar 13Mar 2 – Mar 28–100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)First in fallDec 1Nov 14 – Dec 21Nov 12 (1995) / Dec 24 (2001)90%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)Last in springMar 3Feb 11 – Mar 16–100%

Based on the station’s daily minimum temperature, 1995–2024. “Freeze” here means a daily low at or below the threshold, which is not the same as visible frost. Your yard can differ by several degrees and days from an airport weather station, so use these as planning odds, not guarantees.

The median stretch between the last spring freeze and the first fall freeze (the freeze-free season) was about 244 days.

Nearby weather stations

Source station: Memphis Intl Ap (USW00013893), elevation 251 ft. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Computed by First Snow Dates; how we calculate this. Historical averages only; for a forecast see weather.gov.

Planning for winter? Heat pump vs gas furnace, propane and oil: heating cost in Tennessee (on our sister site PlugVsPump, from EIA prices).