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When does it first snow in Providence, RI?

At Providence, the typical date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1 inch or more in a day) is Dec 4. That is the median over the last 30 snow seasons: half of seasons saw it earlier, half later. In about 1 season in 10 it came by Nov 8, and in 1 in 10 not until Dec 30 or later. The earliest was Oct 29 (2011-12) and the latest Jan 13 (1999-00). A first snowfall of at least 1 inch in a single day typically arrives around Dec 8, and 100% of seasons had one. The first freeze of fall (a low of 32°F or colder) typically comes around Oct 31, and the last freeze of spring around Apr 11.
This season so far (2026-27, data through Oct 16, 2026): no measurable snow recorded yet; no 32°F freeze recorded yet at this station. Compare with the typical dates above. This is observed data and can lag by a day or two, and it is not a forecast.
Dec 4Median first measurable snow (0.1"+)
Dec 8Median first 1"+ snowfall
36.6"Average snowfall per season
7%Chance of white Christmas (1"+ on ground Dec 25)
Oct 31Median first fall freeze (≤32°F)
Apr 11Median last spring freeze (≤32°F)
204Median freeze-free days between

First snowfall dates at Providence

First day with…Median dateTypical range (10th–90th pct)Earliest in 30 seasonsLatest in 30 seasonsSeasons with one
0.1" of snow or more (measurable)Dec 4Nov 8 – Dec 30Oct 29 (2011-12)Jan 13 (1999-00)100%
1" of snow or moreDec 8Nov 12 – Jan 9Oct 29 (2011-12)Feb 26 (2006-07)100%
3" of snow or moreDec 20Nov 28 – Jan 24Nov 13 (2004-05)Feb 26 (2006-07)93%

Based on 30 seasons (July–June, 1995-96 to 2024-25) with at least 85% complete daily snowfall records at the station. Dates are for a single day’s snowfall, so "1 inch" means one calendar day with 1" or more, not total accumulation.

Chance the first snow has already happened by a given date

SnowfallBy Nov 1By Dec 1By Jan 1
0.1"+ (measurable)7%43%90%
1"+7%33%83%

In spring, the last measurable snowfall of the season typically falls around Mar 19 (median).

White Christmas odds in Providence

NOAA defines a white Christmas as at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. Using the last 30 years of daily snow-depth records (1995–2024) at this station, Providence had that in 7% of years, at least 3 inches in 4%, and at least 6 inches in 0%. The average depth on Dec 25 was 0.3 inches and the deepest was 5 inches. New snow was falling (0.1" or more) on Christmas Day itself in 7% of years. Based on 27 years with a recorded depth on Dec 25.

Chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground, by dateNov 1Dec 1Dec 25Jan 15Feb 15Mar 15Apr 100%25%50%75%100%

Share of the last 30 years with 1"+ snow depth within 3 days of each date. Snow cover is most likely around Feb 14 (39%). Red line: Dec 25.

First and last freeze dates in Providence

ThresholdEventMedian dateTypical range (10th–90th pct)Earliest / latestYears with one
32°F or colder (freeze)First in fallOct 31Oct 18 – Nov 8Oct 9 (2001) / Nov 18 (2000)100%
32°F or colder (freeze)Last in springApr 11Apr 3 – Apr 18–100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)First in fallNov 8Oct 29 – Nov 25Oct 23 (1997) / Dec 9 (2016)100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)Last in springMar 29Mar 24 – Apr 8–100%

Based on the station’s daily minimum temperature, 1995–2024. “Freeze” here means a daily low at or below the threshold, which is not the same as visible frost. Your yard can differ by several degrees and days from an airport weather station, so use these as planning odds, not guarantees.

The median stretch between the last spring freeze and the first fall freeze (the freeze-free season) was about 204 days.

Nearby weather stations

Source station: Providence (USW00014765), elevation 51 ft. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Computed by First Snow Dates; how we calculate this. Historical averages only; for a forecast see weather.gov.

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