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When does it first snow in Moline (Quad Cities), IL?

At Moline (Quad Cities), the typical date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1 inch or more in a day) is Nov 24. That is the median over the last 30 snow seasons: half of seasons saw it earlier, half later. In about 1 season in 10 it came by Oct 26, and in 1 in 10 not until Dec 8 or later. The earliest was Oct 15 (2018-19) and the latest Dec 24 (2017-18). A first snowfall of at least 1 inch in a single day typically arrives around Dec 1, and 100% of seasons had one. The first freeze of fall (a low of 32°F or colder) typically comes around Oct 16, and the last freeze of spring around Apr 26.
This season so far (2026-27, data through Oct 16, 2026): no measurable snow recorded yet; no 32°F freeze recorded yet at this station. Compare with the typical dates above. This is observed data and can lag by a day or two, and it is not a forecast.
Nov 24Median first measurable snow (0.1"+)
Dec 1Median first 1"+ snowfall
35.8"Average snowfall per season
34%Chance of white Christmas (1"+ on ground Dec 25)
Oct 16Median first fall freeze (≤32°F)
Apr 26Median last spring freeze (≤32°F)
172Median freeze-free days between

First snowfall dates at Moline (Quad Cities)

First day with…Median dateTypical range (10th–90th pct)Earliest in 30 seasonsLatest in 30 seasonsSeasons with one
0.1" of snow or more (measurable)Nov 24Oct 26 – Dec 8Oct 15 (2018-19)Dec 24 (2017-18)100%
1" of snow or moreDec 1Nov 9 – Dec 28Oct 26 (1997-98)Jan 16 (2001-02)100%
3" of snow or moreDec 22Nov 29 – Jan 16Oct 31 (2019-20)Mar 25 (2022-23)97%

Based on 30 seasons (July–June, 1995-96 to 2024-25) with at least 85% complete daily snowfall records at the station. Dates are for a single day’s snowfall, so "1 inch" means one calendar day with 1" or more, not total accumulation.

Chance the first snow has already happened by a given date

SnowfallBy Nov 1By Dec 1By Jan 1
0.1"+ (measurable)17%63%100%
1"+7%40%90%

In spring, the last measurable snowfall of the season typically falls around Mar 24 (median).

White Christmas odds in Moline (Quad Cities)

NOAA defines a white Christmas as at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25. Using the last 30 years of daily snow-depth records (1995–2024) at this station, Moline (Quad Cities) had that in 34% of years, at least 3 inches in 24%, and at least 6 inches in 14%. The average depth on Dec 25 was 1.8 inches and the deepest was 11 inches. New snow was falling (0.1" or more) on Christmas Day itself in 30% of years. Based on 29 years with a recorded depth on Dec 25.

Chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground, by dateNov 1Dec 1Dec 25Jan 15Feb 15Mar 15Apr 100%25%50%75%100%

Share of the last 30 years with 1"+ snow depth within 3 days of each date. Snow cover is most likely around Jan 23 (67%). Red line: Dec 25.

First and last freeze dates in Moline (Quad Cities)

ThresholdEventMedian dateTypical range (10th–90th pct)Earliest / latestYears with one
32°F or colder (freeze)First in fallOct 16Oct 5 – Oct 28Sep 22 (1995) / Nov 11 (2016)100%
32°F or colder (freeze)Last in springApr 26Apr 14 – May 13–100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)First in fallOct 28Oct 16 – Nov 10Oct 2 (2003) / Nov 26 (2024)100%
28°F or colder (hard freeze)Last in springApr 13Mar 26 – Apr 22–100%

Based on the station’s daily minimum temperature, 1995–2024. “Freeze” here means a daily low at or below the threshold, which is not the same as visible frost. Your yard can differ by several degrees and days from an airport weather station, so use these as planning odds, not guarantees.

The median stretch between the last spring freeze and the first fall freeze (the freeze-free season) was about 172 days.

Nearby weather stations

Source station: Moline Quad City Intl Ap (USW00014923), elevation 576 ft. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Computed by First Snow Dates; how we calculate this. Historical averages only; for a forecast see weather.gov.

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